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October 26, 2015

Playoff Scenarios: East Division decided in Week 20

CFL.ca Staff

Ottawa REDBLACKS


The REDBLACKS have won two in a row and are guaranteed a playoff spot, but where they’ll finish in the East is totally up in the air as they can place anywhere from first to third. They can clinch a home playoff game as soon as Sunday with a win against Hamilton and a Toronto loss to BC on Friday night, while the REDBLACKS can guarantee the East Division title by winning both remaining games against Hamilton. 


The REDBLACKS finish first if: 

1) They win both remaining games against Hamilton. 

2) They split their last two games with Hamilton; AND score more head to head points vs. Hamilton; AND the Argos finish either 1-1 OR 0-2.


The REDBLACKS finish second if: 

1) They split with Hamilton, lose the head-to-head tie-breaker AND the Argos finish 1-1 OR 0-2.

2) They and Argos both finish 0-2.


The REDBLACKS finish third if: 

1) They split with Hamilton AND Toronto finishes 2-0. 

2) They finish 0-2 AND Toronto finishes 1-1 OR 2-0.


Toronto Argonauts



The Argos have clinched a playoff spot but can still finish anywhere from first to third in the East, although the odds of finishing in first are very slim. To finish in first place the Argos must win both of their remaining games and both remaining Ottawa vs. Hamilton games must finish in a draw.


The Argos finish first if: 

1) They finish 2-0 AND the Ticats and REDBLACKS tie each of their remaining two games.


The Argos finish second if:
 

1) They finish their season 2-0. 

2) They finish their season 1-1 AND Ottawa finishes 0-2.


The Argos finish third if: 

1) They finish their season 0-2. 

2) They finish their season 1-1 AND either Ottawa and Hamilton split OR Ottawa wins both games. 

 


Hamilton Tiger-Cats


Hamilton has clinched a playoff spot and currently holds first place in the East, but can still finish as low as third. The Ticats need just one win in their last two to clinch a home playoff game, while winning both remaining games clinches first in the Division. 


The Ticats finish first if: 

1) They win both of their remaining games against Ottawa. 

2) They split with Ottawa and Toronto finishes 2-0, regardless of head-to-head scoring.

3. They split with Ottawa and score more head-to-head points, regardless of how Toronto does. 


The Ticats finish second if:

1) They split with Ottawa, lose in head-to-head scoring and the Argos finish either 1-1 OR 0-2.

2) They go 0-2 against Ottawa AND the Argos finish either 1-1 OR 0-2.


How they finish third: 

1) They go 0-2 against Ottawa AND the Argos finish 2-0.

 


Montreal Alouettes


The Alouettes can no longer make the playoffs without crossing over, however they remain tied with the same record as BC for the final crossover spot. They do not control their own destiny though, as they must finish ahead of both BC and Winnipeg outright in order to cross over.


The Alouettes are guaranteed a playoff spot if: 

1) They win both remaining games and BC loses at least one of its last two. 

2) They finish 1-1 AND BC finishes the season 0-2.


The Alouettes will miss the playoffs if: 

1) They lose both remaining games. 

2) They finish 1-1 AND BC wins one more game. 

3) They finish 2-0 AND BC finishes 2-0.

 


Winnipeg Blue Bombers


The Bombers dropped a game back of both the Lions and Alouettes in the race for the final playoff spot, but hold the tie-breaker with both clubs therefore are not yet eliminated. 


The Bombers make the playoffs if: 

1) They win in Week 20 AND BC finishes 0-2 AND Montreal finishes 0-2.


The Bombers miss the playoffs if: 

1) They lose in Week 20 OR Montreal wins one more game OR BC wins one more game.

 


BC Lions


The Lions remain in third in the West and continue to hold their own destiny over the final playoff spot. Two more wins and they’re in for sure, while they can still get in by going winless if Montreal goes 0-2 and Winnipeg finishes 0-1.


The Lions make the playoffs if:
 

1) They finish 2-0. 

2) They finish 1-1 AND Montreal finishes either 1-1 OR 0-2.

3) They finish 0-2 AND Montreal finishes 0-2 AND Winnipeg finishes 0-1.


The Lions miss the playoffs if:
 

1) They finish 1-1 AND Montreal finishes 2-0. 

2) They finish 0-2 AND either Montreal OR Winnipeg wins one more game.

 


Edmonton Eskimos


The Eskimos are in full control of their own destiny and can clinch as soon as Oct. 31, needing either one more Calgary loss or an Edmonton win on Nov. 1 vs. Montreal. Calgary plays host to Saskatchewan on Saturday while Edmonton plays the next day vs. Montreal.

Regardless of what happens the rest of the way, the Eskimos have already clinched at least second in the West and a home playoff game.


The Eskimos finish first if:
 

1) They win on Nov. 1 vs. Montreal. 

2) Calgary loses one more game.


Calgary Stampeders


Like Edmonton, the Stampeders have also clinched at least second in the West and a home playoff game. First place is still within reach but the Stamps need some help. In order to finish first, Calgary needs to win each of its two remaining games (Oct. 31 vs. Saskatchewan and Nov. 7 at BC) and Edmonton must lose its final game of the season on Sunday, Nov. 1 vs. Montreal.

The top of the West Division standings can be settled as soon as Saturday if Calgary falls to Saskatchewan.


The Stampeders finish first if: 

1) They finish their season 2-0 AND Edmonton loses on Nov. 1


Saskatchewan Roughriders


The Saskatchewan Roughriders have officially been eliminated from post-season contention.